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Gilder Technology Report,
a joint publication of Gilder Publishing LLC and Forbes, Inc.
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Gilder's
Book of the Month
Gilder's
Book of the Month recommended reading list is pulled from George Gilder's
own library.
All books are available for purchase through Amazon.com.
January
2004
After spending much of my holiday reading time with
estimable critics of the Telecosm such as Om Malik (Broadbandits)
and David Denby (American Sucker), I innocently picked up a book
called The Long Walk by Slavomir Rawicz, defying the most urgent
warnings from historian Stephen Ambrose that I would not be able
to put it down. Sure enough, the darn book adhered to my hands for
the next two days-in the bathtub, under the Christmas tree, at lunch,
and in the car to cross-country ski races-and I emerged from my
ordeal with an inspiring new perspective on all the trials of this
Millennium. Incarcerated in a concentration camp in north eastern
Siberia, Rawicz and six colleagues escaped during a blizzard, and
most of them managed to elude dogs, KGB, apparently abominable snowmen,
and marauding Chinese soldiers, and make their way nearly 4000 miles
in 18 months through the Siberian snows and the Gobi desert and
through Mongolia and Tibet and over the Himalayas to India. Full
of fascinating details of survival against all odds both in the
desert and the mountains, in sub zero and trans-100 Farenheits.
Perhaps there is still hope for the all optical revelation.
George Gilder |
Previous
Books of the Month
The
Innovator's Solution: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth
by Clayton M. Christensen, Michael E.
Raynor
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Your Copy
Towering over his colleagues in business analysis,
Clayton Christensen has proven that he is not just another tall white
guy who hangs around the basket and piles up the easy points.
After introducing a champion product at the top
of his game six years ago, garnering huge markets, magisterial prestige,
devoted students, and a double chair at the Harvard Business School,
Christensen triumphantly flouts his own chilling odds against renewing
a stalled franchise. Written with colleague Michael Raynor, his
second book is a whopper of a further innovation: The Innovator's
Solution: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth, even more gripping
and compelling than his first work. His famous core concept of disruptive
innovation, launched in his now classic prize winner The Innovator's
Dilemma, has begotten a scintillating sequel, full of powerful business
ideas that continue spinning in the mind long after you put down
the book.
Using an insight of my partner Nick Tredennick,
I would like to sum up Christensen's initial theory as a form of
Tredennick's law: "Seek performance first and you forgo volume.
Seek volume first and you get performance."
Catchy isn't it? The essence of it is the learning
curve. Creating a high performance product is only the first step.
If you make one brilliant prototype of a magical Silicon Wonderchip
XXX, and then embark on an agenda of costly performance improvements,
you will restrict yourself to a sparse population of elite users.
In the end, this small market of demanding buyers-whether of high-end
cameras or high-end routers or specialized business communications-will
not be able to pay for the early rate of improvement. Meanwhile
your rival-Intel, perhaps-incorporates an inferior ripoff on some
underused corner of a Pentium and makes billions of units. Moving
down the learning curve of the semiconductor industry with Moore's
law, the Pentium will soon be doing the job more cheaply and better
than your Silicon WonderchipXXX."
Now in The Innovator's Solution, Christensen offers
a broader, more far reaching, but less quantitative, discourse on
business strategy. He tells executives why "core competence"
shouldn't necessarily be your core business; when to outsource and
when not; how to avoid the grim reaper of business-"commoditization";
how to develop products by asking the question "What job needs
to get done?"; why large mergers almost never work; and how
to counter disruptive threats-and even become the disrupter yourself-by
forming autonomous organizations.
Christensen is full of sagely contrarian advice:
he argues that it is usually better to give a new project to an
executive who has previously failed at a similar undertaking, rather
than one who has been highly successful in an unrelated field. The
learning curve, in other words, applies to management not just manufacturing.
He also shows how, depending on the circumstances, technologies
can be disruptive for some firms but sustaining for others. The
Internet, for example, sustained Dell's low-cost direct-to-customer
marketing and distribution model but disrupted the retail models
of Compaq, HP, IBM, and others.
Perhaps most importantly, Christensen and Raynor
demolish the myth that young companies should be impatient for growth
and patient for profits. Just the opposite, they argue. Demands
for early profitability are good because they force new companies
to adjust their business models based on feedback, rather than assuming
the model is perfect from the outset, only to find out years later
that the initial business plan was fatally flawed.
Christensen and Raynor's chapter endnotes-substantial,
pithy, provocative-add further relish to a feast of business ideas.
-George Gilder & Bret Swanson
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Wall
Street Meat
by Andy Kessler
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Your Copy
Our old friend and Telecosm
star Andy Kessler has minced and marketed WALL STREET MEAT, the most
riotous, insightful, poignant, gossipy, and gallivanting book on Wall
Street ever written. Unlike the telepathic Michael Lewis, whose Liar's
Poker was mostly written at three removes from the major players of
the 1980s, Kessler was embedded big time, for both the eighties and
nineties and he is still prescient in the new era. No fly or flower
on the wall, Kessler was a major player on the field, a double-E from
Bell Labs who actually grasped the intricacies of the technologies
that he analyzed and they touted. He often told these Wall Street
stars the score, or bit a bruised tongue dumbstruck when they did
their daffy dunderheaded thing anyway. Then he went off and formed
a hedge fund with Fred Kittler and scored on his own.
He was there as Bill Gates cackled
at the credulity of analysts rushing to the phones to report a calculated
putdown of his own stock; Kessler was at Jack Grubman's side as he
honed his ax, his "A," his Ebbers and his AWE-strike, boasting
three fictitious women per night, ten beers and four uncanny earning
calls. Kessler was there, carrying true believer Mary Meeker's sachel
as she rushed to her limo to tout her famous "feelings"
about clueless.com to clueless dotty investors; he had frank conversations
with Quattrone about the "monkeys in suits" that end up
as brokers, and he did analytical hanky panky side by side with Blodget.
But unlike most of the inebriated
cast of this rollicking tale, Kessler never lost his head or sense
of proportion. He got out on top, with his humor, writing flair,
integrity, and portfolio intact. And he is about to get even richer
on this self-published book, which has already leapt high at Amazon,
where it tops the list at Morgan Stanley and Lehman Bros, is number
19 in New York and is moving up everywhere else.
This book may have begun in the
boutique insider cult trade but it will be a bulge bracket paperback
soon and then--I have a heart-felt feeling here, a Meeker moment--it
will be a major motion picture. Read it before Kessler goes Hollywood
and becomes too famous to talk to you anymore.
George Gilder
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Valuing
Technology
The New
Science of Wealth in the Knowledge Economy
by
Chris Westland
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Your Copy
In this ambitious and original
text, Chris Westland follows in the path of Aswath Damodaran, casting
light on "The Dark Side of Valuation" of technology stocks.
But where Damodaran stops short of addressing the fundamental issues
of technology itself, the polymathic Westlanda scientist and
consultantcruises in with observations on Moore's and Metcalfe's
laws, nanotechnology and optics, biotech and materials science. He
attempts to formalize in crisp mathematics some of the "laws"
of the microcosm and telecosm.
A fascinating read that does not pretend there are any simple answers
or panaceas. George Gilder |
The
Advent of the Algorithm
by David Berlinski
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Your Copy
Don't be put off by the author's vagaries
and discursions. They are sometimes poetic and funny, sometimes
distracting, but if you press on, you will encounter a unique tale
of the real meaning of the science and technology of the twentieth
century-the overthrow of the materialist superstition in the heart
of mathematics physics, biology, and computer science. Berlinski
was a student of Alonzo Church, who was the most fruitful protÈgÈ
of Kurt Godel, who defined the limits of mathematics and tutored
Einstein. This contrarian tour de force is a gripping adventure
in the ideas that matter in the 21st century as it transcends and
surpasses the 20th. George Gilder
|
Mind
at Light Speed
by David D. Nolte
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Your Copy
A leading physicist, solid state theorist, and
inventor of dynamic holography, Nolte has reshaped telecosmic theory
for the 21st century. Describing the promise of an all optical Internet
and the limitations of human vision, he envisages a new computing
and networking architecture based on the massive parallelism of holograms.
With Avanex and Terabeam both gaining competitive advantage through
holographic techniques, with Essex pursuing the huge advantages of
analog optical processing, and with Carver Mead transforming the camera
in the image of the human retina, Nolte¹s book is a paradigm tour.
Lucidly written for the layman, it explores the parallel advantages
of light and image in the new era of optics. He ends with an intriguing
discussion of quantum computing.
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In
the Beginning Was the Command Line
by Neal Stephenson
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Your Copy
In the Beginning Was the Command Line-is a fast, funny,
and uncannily perceptive history of computer operating systems by
the incomparable Neal Stephenson, author of Cryptonomicon, a panoramic
historical novel which was one of the first and best of our books
of the month. A former programmer, Stephenson explains in savvy and
acrobatic prose the contribution of Microsoft and its obsolescence
today, and explains why Linux is realwhy operating systems will
all be essentially free and open sourced. |
Machine
Beauty
by David Gelernter
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Your Copy
Machine Beauty by David Gelernter
explains and expounds the assumptions behind his transfiguration of
the user interface through his company Mirror
Worlds, named after his prophetic book by the same title, which
essentially outlined the key features of the ultimate World Wide Web
(still under construction today). Gelernter is an essential guide
to the future of computer interfaces and databases. |
The
Quantum Brain
by Jeffrey
Satinover
The
Search for Freedom and the Next Generation of Man
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Your Copy
The
Quantum Brain is an adventure in the science of ideas. It is the first
book on the brain that combines a grasp of the physics of the microcosm
and the technologies of artificial intelligence, neural networks,
and self-organizing systems, with a recognition of the transcendant
properties that define the mind and differentiate it from matter.
Although the subject is inherently difficult and novel, Jeffrey Satinover
is an inspired guide through the fertile areas of convergence among
the pivotal sciences of the age. From such insights will emerge both
new technologies and new philosophies and theologies for the Twenty
First Century.
|
Basic
Economics
A
Citizen's Guide to the Economy
by Thomas Sowell
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Your Copy
Thomas Sowell is widely known
as a masterly writer on the intricacies of race and culture around
the globe. His recent autobiography offers a fascinating vista into
his amazing life battling the forces of political correctness on issues
of race. But Sowell began as a superb economic theorist, bringing
to light the foundational principles of supply side economics in Says
Law ("Supply creates its own demand") and Knowledge and Decisions.
Now he has summed up a lifetime of economic wisdom in this definitive
text, Basic Economics: A Citizen's Guide to the Economy. He
offers pithy and trenchant accounts of a wide range of issues, from
the perversity of rent controls and the wastefulness of recycling
to the irrelevance of sex and race in income data and the true role
of government in economy. |
Collective
Electrodynamics
Quantum
Foundations of Electromagnetism
by Carver A. Mead
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Your Copy
The book of the month (and perhaps of the decade;
time will tell) is Collective Electrodynamics by Carver Mead,
written is his copious free time while launching a revolution in the
camera business with the Foveon imager. Mead's climactic speech at
Telecosm, ending with a prolonged standing ovation, focused less on
Foveon's amazing new chip and its impact on cameras than on his new
book and its promise of a revolution in the physics of the electromagnetic
spectrum. Some mathematics afflicts about two-thirds of the chapters,
but the rest are readable and riveting. |
The
Holy Grail of Data Storage Management
What
Every Enterprise Needs to Know to Solve Its Data Deluge
by
Jon William Toigo
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Your Copy
An
excellent primer on network storage-perhaps the only in depth, book
length treatment of the subject. The book does, however, suffer
from conventional thinking. In particular, Toigo buys into the flawed
notion that the number one reason for SAN architectures is to save
network bandwidth. Recommended
as good background reading on enterprise storage.
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